Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.326210 3.965920 4.732129 5.728471 7.006115 8.612168 1.082061e+01
2024-10-06 2.413709 3.176157 4.216342 5.783538 8.167577 11.807305 1.810933e+01
2024-10-13 1.928304 2.687140 3.805900 5.654258 8.802533 14.316225 2.570903e+01
2024-10-20 1.686586 2.464084 3.687465 5.877290 10.009532 18.259566 3.869347e+01
2024-10-27 1.451625 2.195211 3.422964 5.758826 10.537470 21.167979 5.206920e+01
2024-11-03 1.364240 2.141794 3.495508 6.254683 12.457796 28.208817 8.472357e+01
2024-11-10 1.252941 2.025894 3.429636 6.456411 13.825530 34.863364 1.272568e+02
2024-11-17 1.175178 1.954557 3.429045 6.790563 15.668386 44.396362 2.040326e+02
2024-11-24 1.070318 1.817031 3.272727 6.732602 16.459782 51.264372 2.887996e+02
2024-12-01 0.995389 1.725113 3.191705 6.830838 17.762385 61.458903 4.432592e+02
2024-12-08 0.925806 1.633989 3.096312 6.868574 18.915209 72.491969 6.809107e+02
2024-12-15 0.885407 1.595428 3.107812 7.190260 21.219279 92.544551 1.264923e+03
2024-12-22 0.808367 1.483438 2.961570 7.118315 22.407490 110.966541 2.318502e+03
2024-12-29 0.746161 1.396968 2.866078 7.192160 24.405679 141.325427 5.508657e+03
2025-01-05 0.680299 1.292789 2.707392 7.021830 25.279035 166.748048 1.230583e+04
2025-01-12 0.645287 1.251144 2.694591 7.315715 28.657587 230.448227 6.303804e+04
2025-01-19 0.594765 1.167846 2.560331 7.159512 29.664093 274.470896 3.015774e+05
2025-01-26 0.581624 1.168325 2.645756 7.814915 36.056755 446.377995 5.695969e+12
2025-02-02 0.554797 1.132878 2.626947 8.082719 40.532050 643.387077 NaN
2025-02-09 0.535628 1.113244 2.648865 8.527757 47.059907 1023.978176 NaN
2025-02-16 0.503024 1.056550 2.553260 8.450434 49.529775 1339.780359 NaN
2025-02-23 0.479072 1.018830 2.507938 8.581515 54.188142 1965.258192 NaN
2025-03-02 0.455225 0.978707 2.448689 8.631907 58.366877 2848.891066 NaN